Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Mar 25 2014

U.S. Home Price Index from FHFA Continues to Firm

Summary

The U.S. House Price Index from the Federal Housing and Finance Agency (FHFA) increased 0.5% during January and by 7.4% y/y. That annual rate of appreciation has been steady since early last year. During the last twelve months prices [...]


The U.S. House Price Index from the Federal Housing and Finance Agency (FHFA) increased 0.5% during January and by 7.4% y/y. That annual rate of appreciation has been steady since early last year. During the last twelve months prices rose by double-digits in the Pacific and Mountain regions of the country. Prices remained down, nevertheless, by double digits since the pre-recession peaks.

On a one-month basis, January home prices were strongest in the Middle Atlantic (3.2% y/y), West North Central (5.9% y/y), New England (3.7% y/y) and Mountain (11.0% y/y) regions of the country. Home prices declined, however, during January in the West South Central (+5.4% y/y) region.

The FHFA house price index is a weighted repeat sales index. It measures average price changes in repeat sales or refinancings on the same properties. It is based on transactions involving conforming, conventional mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Only mortgage transactions on single family properties are included. The FHFA data is available in Haver's USECON database.

FHFA U.S. House Price Index Purchase Only (SA %) Jan Dec Nov Y/Y 2013 2012 2011
Total 0.5 0.7 -0.1 7.4 7.7 3.4 -4.0
  Pacific 0.8 0.5 0.1 14.0 16.6 4.9 -6.8
  Mountain 0.5 0.6 0.6 11.0 12.8 8.1 -6.6
  South Atlantic 0.3 1.2 -0.2 8.4 8.2 4.0 -5.1
  East North Central 0.1 0.8 0.1 6.0 5.5 2.2 -3.6
  West North Central 1.0 0.4 0.0 5.9 5.1 3.4 -3.2
  West South Central -0.3 1.6 0.1 5.4 6.2 4.3 -1.1
  East South Central 0.7 1.3 -0.9 4.9 4.5 2.5 -2.6
  New England 1.0 -1.0 -0.5 3.7 3.9 -0.1 -2.2
  Middle Atlantic 1.3 -1.0 -0.6 3.2 2.9 0.0 -3.1

New England: Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Connecticut.
Middle Atlantic: New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania.
East North Central: Michigan, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana and Ohio.
West North Central: North Dakota, South Dakota, Minnesota, Nebraska, Iowa, Kansas and Missouri.
South Atlantic:Delaware,Maryland,District of Columbia,Virginia,West Virginia,North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia & FL.
East South Central: Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama.
West South Central: Oklahoma, Arkansas, Texas and Louisiana.
Mountain: Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico.
Pacific: Hawaii, Alaska, Washington, Oregon and California.
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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