Job growth was generally modest across the states in April, corresponding to the muted national figure. California was an outlier, with a strong payroll gain of nearly 102,000 (0.8 percent). Hawaii’s job count grew a vigorous 1.8 [...]
Global| May 21 2021
State Labor Markets in April
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Global| May 20 2021
The Case Against An Inflation Surge
Last week’s surprisingly big climb in April’s US CPI data has further energised a debate about inflation. In one corner of that debate are a majority of economic forecasters and policymakers. The view here is that any recent and [...]
by:Andrew Cates
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Global| May 19 2021
Consumer Price Inflation – It's More Than Used Car Prices
In April, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.8% driven, in part, by the 10% (not annualized) increase in the price of used cars and trucks. Although the relative importance of used cars and trucks in the CPI is a low 3%, [...]
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Global| May 17 2021
Fed Is Promoting A Public Perception of Inflation That is False----Bad Outcomes Follow Bad Policies
Federal Reserve officials have made a bold claim arguing that the current run-up in consumer price inflation is "transitory," pushed higher due to base effects and a temporary burst in pent-up demand as the economy re-opens. The Fed [...]
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Global| May 12 2021
Biggest Rise In Consumer Prices In More Than A Decade Is Understated By Half
Inflation has arrived, evident by the 4.2% gain in the consumer price index over the past twelve months. But the most significant increase since 2008 still is not fully capturing "experienced" inflation since it is missing the rise in [...]
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Global| May 04 2021
Global Ripple Effects from US Policy Stimulus
Last week the Biden administration announced that it is contemplating a further major package of fiscal policy measures for the US economy. While the size of the package that is being touted caught the imagination of many observers it [...]
by:Andrew Cates
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Global| May 03 2021
The Fed's "Base-Effect" Inflation Argument Is Nonsense
Viewpoint commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has played down the current runup in inflation, arguing it is associated with the reopening [...]
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Global| Apr 30 2021
To Sustain the Economic Cycle, The Fed Must Shift The Focus To Financial Outcomes
One year ago, the economic outcomes of record lob loss and business closings were the primary focus of the monetary policy. The Fed took the unprecedented actions of cutting official rates to record lows, buying billions of debt [...]
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