Recent Updates
- Jamaica: CPI (Jul)
- Israel: CPI (Jul), PPI (Jul), Average Housing Prices (Q2)
- Japan: NCI Economic Activity Index (Aug)
- US: NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Aug)
- Canada: Wholesale trade, MSIO (June)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Plummets in August; Lowest Since May '20
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions plunged to -31.3 in August...
Japan's GDP Accelerates
Real GDP in Japan rose by 2.2% at an annual rate in the second quarter of 2022...
U.S. Import and Export Prices Fall in July; Deepest Since April 2020
Import prices fell 1.4% m/m (8.8% y/y) in July...
U.S. Housing Affordability Declines Further in June
The NAR Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index fell 3.6% in June...
EMU Output Makes Solid Gain in June
The European Monetary Union posted a 0.7% increase for industrial output in June...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Sandy Batten August 23, 2019
New home sales declined 12.8% m/m (+4.3% y/y) in July to 635,000 (SAAR) from 728,000 in June, a massive upward revision from the initially reported 646,000. Sales in May were revised down slightly to 602,000 from 604,000. Sales of 640,000 had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Despite the latest decline, new home sales remained 14.0% higher than the recent low in October. These sales transactions are recorded when sales contracts are signed or deposits are made.
The median price of a new home increased 2.2% m/m (-4.5% y/y) to $312,800 last month. The rise more-than reversed the prior month's decline to $306,000, revised from $310,400. Prices remained 8.9% below the record high of $343,400 in November 2017. The average price of a new home jumped up 9.5% m/m (-1.1% y/y) to $388,000.
Sales were generally down across the regions of the country in July. New home sales in the Northeast jumped up 50% m/m (56% y/y). In contrast, monthly sales fell in the other three regions. Sales declined 11.1% m/m (-18.8% y/y) in the Midwest; declined 16.1% m/m (+3.2% y/y) in the South, and fell 14.2% m/m (+8.4% y/y) in the West
The months' supply of homes on the market rebounded to 6.4 in July from a 15-month low of 5.5 in June but remained well below the recent high of 7.4 months reached last December. The median number of months a new home was on the market after its completion eased to 3.4 months but was still above the recent low of 2.7 months in last October.
The data in this report are available in Haver's USECON database. The consensus expectation figure from Action Economics is available in the AS1REPNA database.
"Challenges for Monetary Policy" from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell is available here.
U.S. New Single-Family Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | July | June | May | July Y/Y % | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 635 | 728 | 602 | 4.3 | 615 | 617 | 562 |
Northeast | 39 | 26 | 23 | 56.0 | 32 | 40 | 32 |
Midwest | 56 | 63 | 70 | -18.8 | 75 | 72 | 69 |
South | 359 | 428 | 379 | 3.2 | 348 | 341 | 318 |
West | 181 | 211 | 130 | 8.4 | 160 | 164 | 142 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 312,800 | 306,000 | 311,000 | -4.5 | 323,125 | 321,633 | 306,500 |