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Economy in Brief
U.S. Housing Starts Drop to 1.446 Mil. in July
Toal housing starts fell 9.6% m/m (-8.1% y/y) to a lower-than-expected 1.446 million...
U.S. Gasoline Prices Decline While the Cost of Crude Oil Rises
Retail gasoline prices fell to $3.94 per gallon (+24.1% y/y) last week...
ZEW Experts Still See Depressed Conditions and Harbor Weak Expectations
the current situation in the eyes of the ZEW experts strengthened in August in the U.S. and the U.K. but...
U.S. Home Builder Index Extends Downward Trend
The NAHB-Wells Fargo Composite Housing Market Index declined 10.9% during August (-34.7% y/y) to 49...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Plummets in August; Lowest Since May '20
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions plunged to -31.3 in August...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller May 23, 2018
Sales of new single-family homes during April slipped 1.5% (+11.6% y/y) to 662,000 (SAAR) from 672,000 during March, revised from 694,000. Expectations had been for 680,000 sales in the Action Economics Forecast Survey.
The median price of a new home fell 6.9% (+0.4% y/y) to $312,400 from $335,400, revised from $337,200. It was the lowest price in twelve months. The average price of a new home increased 11.3% both m/m and y/y to a record $407,300.
Changes in new home sales were mixed last month across the country. In the Northeast, sales increased 11.1% m/m (5.3% y/y) to 40,000. That followed a 16.3% March decline due to bad weather. Sales in the South inched slightly higher to 355,000 (6.0% y/y) following a 2.7% fall. Sales in the Midwest held steady m/m (26.4% y/y) at 91,000 after a 7.1% rise. The level was the highest since 2007. New home sales in the West slumped 7.9% (+18.9% y/y) to 176,000, down 18.5% from the November peak of 216,000.
The months' supply of homes on the market improved m/m to 5.4 but has been moving irregularly sideways since 2012. The median number of months a new home was on the market remained low at 3.8, up slightly during the last nine months.
The data in this report are available in Haver's USECON database. The consensus expectation figure from Action Economics is available in the AS1REPNA database.
U.S. New Single-Family Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Apr | Mar | Feb | Apr Y/Y % | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 662 | 672 | 659 | 11.6 | 617 | 561 | 503 |
Northeast | 40 | 36 | 43 | 5.3 | 39 | 32 | 25 |
Midwest | 91 | 91 | 85 | 26.4 | 72 | 69 | 61 |
South | 355 | 354 | 364 | 6.0 | 341 | 317 | 286 |
West | 176 | 191 | 167 | 18.9 | 165 | 142 | 130 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 312,400 | 335,400 | 329,400 | 0.4 | 321,633 | 306,500 | 293,733 |