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Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
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Home buying remains under pressure...
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Italian business and consumer confidence indexes both are substantially lower in May...
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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
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The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller December 23, 2015
Sales of new single-family homes increased 4.3% during November to 490,000 from 470,000 in October, revised from 495,000. The gain left sales up 9.1% y/y but down 10.1% since the February high. Sales of 505,000 had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The rise contrasts to yesterday's report of a 10.5% decline in existing single-family home sales.
The median price of a new home increased 6.3% from October and rose 0.8% y/y. The average sales price gained 4.7% m/m, off 4.5% y/y.
Home sales in the West increased 20.5% to 135,000, the highest level since March. Sales in the South also were firm, rising 4.5% to 277,000. In the Northeast, sales declined 28.6% to 25,000. Home sales in the Midwest fell 8.6% to 53,000.
The inventory of unsold homes increased 10.5% y/y and there was 5.7 months supply at the current sales rate. That figure was up from 4.0 months in January 2013. The number of months a new home was for sale remained near the record low at 3.0 months.
The data in this report are available in Haver's USECON database. The consensus expectation figure from the Action Economics Forecast Survey is available in the AS1REPNA database.
U.S. New Single-Family Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Nov | Oct | Sep | Y/Y %, SA | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 490 | 470 | 442 | 9.1 | 440 | 430 | 368 |
Northeast | 25 | 35 | 19 | -13.8 | 28 | 31 | 29 |
Midwest | 53 | 58 | 57 | -10.2 | 58 | 61 | 47 |
South | 277 | 265 | 258 | 19.4 | 244 | 233 | 195 |
West | 135 | 112 | 108 | 4.7 | 110 | 106 | 97 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 305,000 | 286,900 | 310,400 | 0.8 | 283,775 | 265,092 | 242,108 |