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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Carol Stone December 22, 2015
The U.S. House Price Index from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) increased 0.5% in October, making the year-to-year gain 6.1% y/y; the October rise was moderately slower than the 0.7% monthly change in September, which was revised modestly from 0.8% reported initially. Over the last three months, the annualized rate of change was also 6.1%, the same as the 12-month pace.
From September to October, the national purchase price index was slower because of slowing or outright declines in five of the nation's broad Census regions. The declines took place in the eastern states, with New England down 0.5% (+2.9% y/y) and the Middle Atlantic states down 0.1% (+3.1% y/y). Prices in New England had been up sharply in September, 1.2%, while those in the Middle Atlantic region had a more moderate rise of 0.4% then. The regions with smaller increases in October were the East North Central states, up 0.5% (4.4% y/y) after September's 1.3%, West South Central, up 0.4% (6.9% y/y) after 0.8%, and the Pacific states, up just 0.1% (7.7% y/y) after their sizable 1.1% gain in September.
Prices firmed in three regions, most notably the East South Central states, up 1.2% (5.7% y/y) after September's 0.3%, making this the strongest regional gain in October. Prices in the South Atlantic states rose 0.9% (7.6% y/y), the second strongest October gain and up from 0.5% in September. The house price index increased 0.5% in the West North Central region (4.9% y/y) after being unchanged the month before. Prices in the Mountain states maintained their 0.7% September advance in October as well and put the year-to-year increase at 8.9%, extending that region's ranking as the strongest year-to-year.
The FHFA house price index is a weighted repeat sales index. It measures average price changes in repeat sales of the same property. An associated quarterly index also includes refinancings on the same kinds of properties. The indexes are based on transactions involving conforming, conventional mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Only mortgage transactions on single-family properties are included. The FHFA data are available in Haver's USECON database.
FHFA U.S. House Price Index, Purchase Only (SA %) | Oct | Sep | Aug | Oct Y/Y | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 7.5 | 3.3 |
New England | -0.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.9 | -0.2 |
Middle Atlantic | -0.1 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 2.8 | -0.1 |
East North Central | 0.5 | 1.3 | -0.4 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 2.1 |
West North Central | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 3.2 |
South Atlantic | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 7.6 | 6.0 | 8.1 | 3.8 |
East South Central | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 2.2 |
West South Central | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 6.9 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 4.0 |
Mountain | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 8.9 | 7.5 | 12.3 | 7.8 |
Pacific | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 16.1 | 4.9 |
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