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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller December 3, 2015
The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during November fell to 30,953 (-13.9% y/y) following the prior month's decline to 50,504. The latest level was nearly the lowest of the economic recovery. Layoffs fell in the energy, food, chemical, construction, consumer products, electronics, financial, health care, insurance, legal, pharmaceutical, retail and telecommunications industries. Layoffs rose in aerospace/defense, automotive, computer, education, entertainment/leisure, government, industrial goods, media, services, transportation and utility industries.
During the last ten years, there has been a 68% correlation between the level of job cut announcements and the m/m change in payroll employment.
Challenger also samples firms' hiring plans. Hiring fell sharply last month to 10,026 after the 86,107 rise in October. The aerospace/defense, computer, construction, consumer products, entertainment/leisure, financial, health care, pharmaceutical, retail, services, and transportation industries reduced hiring. Hiring increased in the auto, electronics, energy, food, industrial goods, insurance industries.
The Challenger figures are available in Haver's SURVEYS database.
Challenger, Gray & Christmas |
Nov | Oct | Sep | Y/Y % | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Announced Job Cuts |
30,953 | 50,504 | 58,877 | -13.9 | 483,171 | 509,051 | 523,362 |
Announced Hiring Plans |
10,026 | 86,107 | 492,306 | -11.2 | 821,506 | 764,206 | 630,447 |