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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller November 17, 2015
The Consumer Price Index increased 0.2% during October (0.2% y/y) and countered declines during the prior two months. Prices excluding food & energy increased 0.2% (1.9% y/y) for the second straight month. A 0.2% increase in both total and core prices were expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey.
A 0.3% increase (2.8% y/y) in services prices repeated the prior month's gain. Medical care prices jumped 0.8% (3.0% y/y). Shelter prices rose 0.3% (3.2% y/y) as owners equivalent rent of primary residences increased 0.2% (3.1% y/y). Public transportation services prices jumped 1.3% (-2.3% y/y) and recreation services costs improved 0.4% (2.4% y/y).
Energy prices also increased 0.3% (-17.1% y/y) led by a 0.4% rise (-27.8% y/y) in gasoline prices. Electricity costs increased 0.4% (-0.5% y/y) but fuel oil prices fell 1.1% (-32.9% y/y). Natural gas prices eased 0.7% (-11.0% y/y).
Food prices ticked 0.1% higher (1.6% y/y) following stronger gains in the prior four months. Cereal prices jumped 1.3% (1.6% y/y) and fruit & vegetable prices improved 0.5% (0.1% y/y). Nonalcoholic beverage prices gained 0.2% (1.0% y/y) but meat, poultry & fish prices eased 0.1% (-1.2% y/y). Egg prices declined 4.8% (+30.0% y/y).
Goods prices excluding food & energy eased 0.1% (-0.7% y/y) as apparel prices declined 0.8% (-1.9% y/y). Appliance prices fell 0.5% (-4.0% y/y) and new vehicle prices were off 0.2% (+0.1% y/y). Recreation goods prices eased 0.1% (-2.6% y/y). Furniture prices remained little changed (-0.5% y/y) but medical care commodity prices gained 0.2% (2.8% y/y). Education books and supplies prices jumped 0.4% (4.3% y/y) and as did tobacco product prices (3.4% y/y).
The consumer price data is available in Haver's USECON database while detailed figures can be found in CPIDATA. The expectations figure is from Action Economics and is found in the AS1REPNA database.
Consumer Price Index, All Urban Consumers (%) | Oct | Sep | Aug | Oct Y/Y | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 0.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
Total less Food & Energy | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
Goods less Food & Energy | -0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.7 | -0.3 | -0.0 | 1.3 |
Services less Energy | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
Food | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 2.6 |
Energy | 0.3 | -4.7 | -2.0 | -17.1 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 0.9 |