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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller November 10, 2015
Inventories at the wholesale level rose 0.5% during September (4.5% y/y)
following a 0.3% August increase. The rise was paced by a 1.3% jump (8.4% y/y) in
furniture and a 0.5% rise (12.8% y/y) in automotive inventories.. Computer &
peripherals fell 1.7% (+1.8% y/y) and electrical goods inventories eased 0.3% (+5.4%
y/y. Nondurable goods inventories increased 1.9% (7.5% y/y). The gain reflected
a 2.3% rise (14.4% y/y) in apparel but petroleum inventories eased 0.6% (-18.2%
y/y). Chemical inventories declined 1.6% (+4.0% y/y).
Sales in the wholesale sector improved 0.5% (-3.6% y/y) after two months of decline. Motor vehicle sales jumped 2.3% (5.9% y/y) though furniture purchases were off 2.7% (+4.6% y/y). Machinery equipment sales improved 0.2% (-3.6% y/y). Nondurable goods sales increased 0.3% (-6.1% y/y) as apparel sales gained 1.9% (6.3% y/y). Chemical sales improved 0.5% (-2.9% y/y) but petroleum sales declined 4.6% (-39.1% y/y).
The inventory to sales ratio held steady at 1.31, up sharply from 1.14 averaged in 2010 and 2011. The motor vehicle ratio eased to 1.73, but remained near the expansion high. The ratio for furniture & home furnishings jumped to 1.68 but has moved erratically sideways during the expansion. The nondurable goods ratio surged to 1.00, the highest level since 2001 due to strength across several industries.
The wholesale trade figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
Wholesale Sector - NAICS Classification (%) | Sep | Aug | Jul | Y/Y | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Inventories | 0.5 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 6.6 |
Sales | 0.5 | -0.9 | -0.3 | -3.6 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 6.2 |
I/S Ratio | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.30 | 1.20 (Sep. '14) | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.16 |