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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller November 10, 2015
Import prices declined 0.5% during October (-10.5% y/y) following a 0.6% shortfall in September, revised from -0.1%. A 0.1% slip had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Petroleum prices fell 2.1% (-48.0% y/y) after a 6.0% drop, revised from a 1.1% increase. Nonpetroleum import prices fell 0.4% (-3.4% y/y). Prices have not risen m/m since March of last year. A 1.0% decline (-5.0% y/y) in foods, feeds & beverages costs added to downward price pressure and nonoil supplies & materials prices declined 1.0% (-11.0% y/y). Motor vehicle & parts cost eased 0.3% (-1.6% y/y) and capital goods prices slipped a 0.1% (-2.3% y/y). Nonauto consumer goods prices edged 0.1% higher (-1.1% y/y).
Export prices fell 0.2% (-6.7% y/y) following a 0.6% drop. Expectations had been for a 0.3% decline. A 0.8% shortfall (-15.9% y/y) in industrial supplies & materials prices led the way lower. This decline reflected lower fuels & building materials prices, without which prices fell 0.5% (-8.4% y/y). Foods, feeds & beverages prices improved 0.4% (-12.2% y/y) and nonauto consumer goods prices eased 0.1% (-2.4% y/y). Automotive vehicles & parts prices also slipped 0.1% (-0.4% y/y) and capital goods prices improved 0.1% (0.1% y/y).
The import and export price series can be found in Haver's USECON database. Detailed figures, including the industrial materials excluding petroleum imports and the petroleum export items mentioned above, are available in the USINT database. The expectations figure from the Action Economics Forecast Survey is in the AS1REPNA database.
Import/Export Prices (NSA, %) | Oct | Sep | Aug | Oct Y/Y | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Imports - All Commodities | -0.5 | -0.6 | -1.8 | -10.5 | -1.1 | -1.1 | 0.3 |
Petroleum | -2.1 | -6.0 | -13.6 | -48.0 | -5.6 | -2.6 | -0.3 |
Nonpetroleum | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -3.4 | 0.1 | -0.6 | 0.3 |
Exports - All Commodities | -0.2 | -0.6 | -1.4 | -6.7 | -0.5 | -0.4 | 0.4 |
Agricultural | -0.1 | -1.3 | -2.5 | -11.8 | -2.7 | 1.6 | 2.4 |
Nonagricultural | -0.3 | -0.5 | -1.3 | -6.1 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 0.1 |