Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Tom Moeller September 28, 2015
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending sales of single-family homes declined 1.4% during August (+6.7% y/y) following an unrevised 0.5% July gain. Expectations were for a 0.4% increase according to Bloomberg. These sales are reported as an index with 2001=100. The August value was 109.4, up 41.9% from the June 2010 low.
Sales declines spread through most of the country. In the Northeast, sales fell 5.6% (+8.0% y/y). Sales in the South moved 2.2% lower (+5.3% y/y) and in the Midwest sales eased 0.4% (+6.2% y/y). Moving 1.8% higher were sales in the West (9.3% y/y).
The pending home sales figures are analogous to the new home sales data from the Commerce Department. They measure home sales when the sales contract is signed, not at the time the sale is closed. In developing the model for the index, the NAR demonstrated that the level of monthly sales contract activity parallels the level of closed existing home sales in the following two months. The series dates back to 2001 and the data are available in Haver's PREALTOR database.
Pending Home Sales (%, SA) | Aug | Jul | Jun | Aug Y/Y | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | -1.4 | 0.5 | -1.7 | 6.7 | -4.4 | 5.0 | 11.8 |
Northeast | -5.6 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 8.0 | -1.4 | 7.0 | 17.6 |
Midwest | -0.4 | 0.0 | -3.2 | 6.2 | -6.3 | 11.3 | 18.6 |
South | -2.2 | 0.6 | -3.0 | 5.3 | -2.0 | 6.0 | 12.9 |
West | 1.8 | -1.3 | 0.5 | 9.3 | -8.7 | -3.8 | 1.5 |