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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller September 21, 2015
Sales of existing homes declined 4.8% (-5.4% y/y) during August to 5.310 million (AR) from 5.580 million in July, revised from 5.590 million. July sales were the strongest since February 2007. The latest figure fell short of expectations for 5.50 million sales in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Single-family home sales fell 5.3% last month to 4.690 million (+5.2% y/y). Condo and co-op sales eased 1.6% (+7.3% y/y) after a 3.1% decline.
The median sales price of an existing home fell 1.3% to $228,700 (+4.7% y/y) and was down from June's record $236,300. The average sales price fell 1.6% to $271,600 (+3.0% y/y).
By region, sales in the Northeast held steady at 0.700 million (5.9% y/y) after July's 2.8% decline. In the Midwest, sales eased 1.5% (+5.2% y/y) to 1.280 million and repeated the July drop. Sales in the West retreated 7.8% (+4.9% y/y) to 1.190 million following a 4.0% rise. In the South, sales declined 6.6% (+5.7% y/y) to 2.140 million on the heels of a 4.1% July increase.
The composite index of home affordability fell to 151.2 in July, its lowest level since November 2008. Payments as a percent of income rose to 16.5%, up from 11.7% in January 2013.
The inventory of unsold homes declined 1.7% y/y to 2.290 million. The months supply of homes on the market rose to 5.2 months, down from the 11.9 month high in July 2010.
The data on existing home sales, prices and affordability can be found in Haver's USECON database. The regional price, affordability and inventory data are available in the REALTOR database. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics survey, reported in the AS1REPNA database.
U.S. Output Growth Moderately Strong Amid Slower Global Growth from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas is available here.
Existing Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Aug | Jul | Jun | Y/Y % | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 5,310 | 5,580 | 5,480 | 5.4 | 4,935 | 5,087 | 4,656 |
Northeast | 700 | 700 | 720 | 5.9 | 645 | 658 | 596 |
Midwest | 1,280 | 1,300 | 1,320 | 5.2 | 1,136 | 1,201 | 1,068 |
South | 2,140 | 2,290 | 2,200 | 5.7 | 2,051 | 2,040 | 1,834 |
West | 1,190 | 1,290 | 1,240 | 4.9 | 1,103 | 1,188 | 1,158 |
Single-Family Sales | 4,690 | 4,950 | 4,830 | 5.2 | 4,334 | 4,473 | 4,125 |
Median Price Total ($, NSA) | 228,700 | 231,800 | 236,300 | 4.7 | 206,708 | 195,667 | 175,433 |