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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller July 30, 2015
The Census Bureau has begun to publish an advance report on
U.S. international trade in goods. The BEA will incorporate these data
into its estimates of exports and imports for the advance GDP estimates. This is
expected to reduce the size of revisions to GDP growth in later estimates.
The U.S. foreign trade deficit in goods during June deteriorated to $62.3 billion from $60.4 billion in May. According to today's estimates for the second quarter, improvement in the foreign trade deficit added 0.1 percentage points to real GDP growth.
Goods exports eased 0.4% (-6.3% y/y) following a 1.1% decline as foods, feeds & beverage exports fell 4.3% (-10.4% y/y). Industrial supplies & materials exports edged 1.5% lower (-12.0% y/y) after a 2.2% rise while capital goods exports were off 1.7% (-2.3% y/y) following a 5.2% drop. To the upside, nonauto consumer goods exports jumped 4.7% (0.5% y/y) following three straight months of decline while automotive product exports gained 0.3% (-5.4% y/y).
Imports increased 0.7% (-1.0% y/y) following a 0.2% dip. Foods, feeds & beverages imports recovered 5.9% (5.3% y/y) following two months of decline. Industrial supplies & materials imports gained 1.9% (-22.6% y/y) after five straight months of decline with lower oil prices. Automotive vehicles & parts imports rose 1.1% (10.2% y/y) after a 3.0% rise while nonauto consumer goods imports jumped 3.1% (13.9% y/y) after no change. Capital goods imports were off 1.2% (+1.3% y/y), down for three straight months.
The international trade data can be found in Haver's USECON database.
Foreign Trade in Goods (Current Dollars) | Jun | May | Apr | Y/Y | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
U.S. Trade Deficit | $62.3 bil. | $60.4 bil. | $59.4 bil. | $60.6 bil. (6/14) |
$727.2 bil. | $689.9 bil. | $730.4 bil. |
Exports (% Chg) | -0.4 | -1.1 | 1.8 | -5.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 4.3 |
Imports | 0.7 | -0.2 | -3.9 | -1.0 | 3.5 | -0.3 | 3.1 |