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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller July 24, 2015
New home sales during June declined 6.8% to 482,000 following a revised 1.1% May drop to 517,000, initially reported as 546,000. April sales also were revised lower to 523,000 from 534,000. Sales were at the lowest level since November and 11.6% below the February peak of 545,000. The latest decline contrasts with Wednesday's report of a 3.2% rise in sales of existing homes. The latest figure disappointed expectations for 549,000 in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Sales are quoted at seasonally adjusted annual rates.
Home prices remained under pressure. The median price for a new home during June improved a scant 0.5% (-1.8% y/y) to $281,800. May's median price was revised down, however, to $280,500 from $282,800. June's price was 6.9% below the peak of $302,700 reached in November. The average price of a new home declined 2.1% last month to $328,700 (-2.8% y/y) from $335,900 in May. The latest was down 12.0% from the December peak.
Sales results continued to vary around the country. In the West, sales declined 17.0% from May to 112,000 (+10.9% y/y). It was the lowest sales level since last July. Sales in the Midwest were off 11.1% (+5.7% y/y) to 56,000, the least since February. Sales in the South fell 4.1% to 282,000 (+23.7% y/y), the lowest level since December. To the upside, sales in the Northeast posted a 28.0% gain (23.1% y/y) to 32,000. They remained, however, 15.8% below the peak reached in May of last year.
The inventory of unsold homes increased to 215,000 (8.6% y/y). The months' sales supply of new homes also increased m/m to 5.4 months, the highest level since November. The length of time to sell a new home nudged up from June to 4.0 months but was down from 14.0 months at the end of 2009.
The data in this report are available in Haver's USECON database. The consensus expectation figure from the Action Economics survey is available in the AS1REPNA database.
Millennials, Baby Boomers, and Rebounding Multifamily Home Construction from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City is available here.
U.S. New Single-Family Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Jun | May | Apr | Jun Y/Y % | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 482 | 517 | 523 | 18.1 | 439 | 429 | 369 |
Northeast | 32 | 25 | 14 | 23.1 | 28 | 30 | 28 |
Midwest | 56 | 63 | 71 | 5.7 | 60 | 62 | 48 |
South | 282 | 294 | 316 | 23.7 | 244 | 232 | 194 |
West | 112 | 135 | 122 | 10.9 | 108 | 106 | 97 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 281,800 | 280,500 | 292,000 | -1.8 | 283,775 | 265,092 | 242,108 |