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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller July 22, 2015
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Market Volume Index improved 0.1% last week (8.3% y/y). Purchase applications gained 1.0% (17.9% y/y) while applications to refinance eased 0.5% (+0.2% y/y).
The effective interest rate on a 15-year mortgage held steady at 3.52%. The effective rate on a 30-year fixed rate loan also was stable at 4.33% but the rate on a Jumbo 30-year loan eased to 4.26%. For adjustable 5-year mortgages, the effective interest rate was steady at 3.24%.
The average mortgage loan size eased to $258,500 (+6.1% y/y). For purchases, it fell to $286,500 (+5.1% y/y) and for refinancings it slipped to $230,800 (+5.2% y/y).
Applications for fixed interest rate loans increased 8.3% y/y, while adjustable rate loan applications gained 2.0% y/y.
The survey covers over 75 percent of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications, and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (SA, 3/16/90=100) | 07/17/15 | 07/10/15 | 07/03/15 | Y/Y % | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 376.6 | 376.1 | 383.5 | 8.3 | 361.5 | 616.6 | 813.8 |
Purchase | 198.3 | 196.4 | 212.4 | 17.9 | 172.1 | 197.5 | 187.8 |
Refinancing | 1,384.8 | 1,392.4 | 1,342.9 | 0.2 | 1,449.8 | 3,070.0 | 4,505.0 |
15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 3.52 | 3.51 | 3.49 | 3.50 (7/14) |
3.54 | 3.42 | 3.25 |