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Economy in Brief
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Eased Slightly in the Latest Week
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended May 21 were 210,000 (-52.4% y/y)...
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Increase Modestly in April
Manufacturers' new orders for durable goods increased 0.4% during April (12.2% y/y)...
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
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State Labor Markets in April 2022
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Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller June 29, 2015
The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas reported that its June Composite index of factory sector activity improved to -7.0 during June, its least negative reading since January. The figure reflected modest improvement in production, employment, shipments, capacity utilization and wages & benefits. Raw materials pricing power jumped into positive territory, the firmest reading since November.
The business activity reading for six months ahead of 8.1 was its best number since December, but remained down from the April 2014 high of 25.3. Improvement in the future general business activity, employment and wages & benefits series led the way higher. There was slight deterioration in most of the other component series including shipments, production and the growth rate of new orders.
The diffusion indexes are calculated as the percentage of total respondents reporting increases minus the percentage reporting declines. Firms are asked whether output, employment, orders, prices and other indicators increased, decreased or remained unchanged over the previous month. The data can be found in Haver's SURVEYS database.
Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Survey (SA, Percent Balance) | Jun | May | Apr | Jun '14 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
General Business Activity Versus One Month Ago | -7.0 | -20.8 | -16.0 | 11.9 | 8.3 | 2.2 | -0.6 |
Production | -6.5 | -13.5 | -4.7 | 16.2 | 14.6 | 9.8 | 8.7 |
Growth Rate of New Orders | -16.5 | -15.2 | -15.5 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 0.1 | -2.8 |
Number of Employees | -1.2 | -8.2 | 1.8 | 13.7 | 11.5 | 5.6 | 11.8 |
Prices Received for Finished Goods | -1.9 | -8.7 | -7.7 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
Business Activity in Six Months | 8.1 | 4.9 | -5.9 | 19.3 | 17.4 | 11.0 | 7.6 |
Production | 35.2 | 38.6 | 28.2 | 44.3 | 42.7 | 37.1 | 32.4 |
Future New Orders Growth Rate | 21.1 | 27.3 | 19.6 | 31.3 | 31.5 | 25.0 | 19.5 |
Number of Employees | 16.9 | 14.1 | 12.4 | 29.8 | 28.6 | 23.1 | 19.1 |
Wages & Benefits | 31.0 | 30.6 | 34.2 | 45.3 | 43.0 | 38.2 | 34.2 |