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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller June 11, 2015
Import prices increased 1.3% last month (-9.6% y/y) following a 0.2% April drop, revised from -0.3%. The Action Economics Forecast Survey anticipated a 0.8% rise.
Prices of petroleum imports jumped 12.7% (-40.6% y/y) following two months of moderate gain. Nonpetroleum import prices, however, were unchanged (-2.6% y/y). Industrial materials prices excluding petroleum slipped 0.1% (-8.0% y/y). Prices amongst the other end-use categories were mixed. Food, feed & beverage prices gained 0.3% (-1.4% y/y) but autos & parts prices slipped 0.1% (-2.0% y/y). Nonauto consumer goods prices were unchanged (-0.8% y/y) while capital goods prices were off 0.2% (-1.7% y/y).
Export prices also firmed. Their 0.6% increase reversed a 0.7% decline. No change had been expected. Agricultural prices fell 1.0% (-16.8% y/y) and nonagricultural costs rebounded 0.7% (-4.6% y/y). Overall industrial materials & supplies prices increased 2.2% (-12.3% y/y), reflecting a 9.9% rise (-30.0% y/y) in petroleum prices. That was offset by a 1.2% drop (-16.3% y/y) in foods, feeds & beverage prices. Prices excluding foods and fuels ticked 0.1% higher (-1.9% y/y). Capital goods export prices were off 0.1% (+0.1% y/y) and prices excluding computers & peripherals were unchanged for the third straight month (+0.8% y/y). Nonauto consumer goods prices edged 0.1% lower (-2.3% y/y) but autos & parts prices gained 0.2% (0.1% y/y).
The import and export price series can be found in Haver's USECON database. Detailed figures, including the industrial materials excluding petroleum imports and the fuel & lubricant export items mentioned above, are available in the USINT database. The expectations figure from the Action Economics Forecast Survey is in the AS1REPNA database.
Import/Export Prices (NSA, %) | May | Apr | Mar | May Y/Y | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Imports - All Commodities | 1.3 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -9.6 | -1.1 | -1.1 | 0.3 |
Petroleum | 12.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | -40.6 | -5.6 | -2.6 | -0.3 |
Nonpetroleum | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -2.6 | 0.1 | -0.6 | 0.3 |
Exports - All Commodities | 0.6 | -0.7 | 0.1 | -5.9 | -0.5 | -0.4 | 0.4 |
Agricultural | -1.0 | -0.9 | -1.7 | -16.8 | -2.7 | 1.6 | 2.4 |
Nonagricultural | 0.7 | -0.7 | 0.2 | -4.6 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 0.1 |