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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller June 11, 2015
Initial unemployment insurance claims of 279,000 (-12.3% y/y) during the week June 6 compared to 277,000 during the prior week, initially reported as 276,000. The four week moving average rose to 278,750, the highest level since early May. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 277,000 claims in the latest week. During the last ten years, there has been a 76% correlation between the level of initial claims and the m/m change in nonfarm payrolls.
Continuing claims for unemployment insurance rose to 2.265 million (-13.7% y/y) in the latest week. The four-week moving average was stable at 2.227 million, the lowest level since November 2000.
The insured rate of unemployment inched back to 1.7% continuing the up/down pattern of the last several weeks.
By state, the insured rate of unemployment continued to vary greatly with Virginia (0.80%), Georgia (0.95%), Kansas (1.27%), Idaho (1.23%), Michigan (1.30%) and Texas (1.53%) at the low end of the range. At the high end were Maryland (1.57%), Massachusetts (1.97%), California (2.11%), Nevada (2.15%), Pennsylvania (2.18%) and New Jersey (2.42%). These data are not seasonally adjusted.
Data on weekly unemployment insurance are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.
Unemployment Insurance (000s) | 06/06/15 | 05/30/15 | 05/23/15 | Y/Y % | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 279 | 277 | 284 | -12.3 | 309 | 343 | 374 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 2,265 | 2,204 | -13.7 | 2,599 | 2,978 | 3,319 |
Insured Unemployment Rate (%) | -- | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.0 (05/14) |
2.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 |