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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller June 9, 2015
Inventories at the wholesale level increased 0.4% during April (4.5% y/y)
following two months of 0.2% increase. Despite the monthly rise, y/y growth
decelerated to 4.5%, its slowest since early last year. Durable goods
inventories ticked just 0.1% higher (6.6% y/y). Motor vehicle inventories
increased 1.8% (13.2% y/y) and machinery inventories advanced 0.7% (6.8% y/y).
Electrical equipment inventories declined 1.2% (+7.2% y/y) and furniture
inventories slipped 0.2% (+6.2% y/y). Nondurable goods inventories increased 0.8%
(1.1% y/y). Petroleum inventories gained 2.3% (-20.7% y/y) and apparel
inventories rose 2.7% (8.6% y/y). Chemical inventories gained 2.2% (0.2% y/y)
while paper inventories jumped 3.9% (3.5% y/y).
Wholesale sales improved 1.6% (-3.3% y/y) following declines during each of the prior eight months. Durable goods sales improved 1.2% (2.4% y/y) as electrical equipment sales increased 3.2% (8.7% y/y). Motor vehicle sales gained 3.2% (8.1% y/y). In the nondurable goods area, sales increased 2.0% (-8.2% y/y). The gain was paced by a 4.9% rise (-37.3% y/y) in petroleum sales. Chemical sales declined 1.4% (-5.0% y/y) and apparel sales were off by 1.5% (+5.6% y/y). Sales of paper & paper products increased 1.1% (1.9% y/y).
The inventory-to-sales ratio slipped m/m to 1.29. The ratio nevertheless remained near its highest level since 2009. The durable goods I/S ratio fell to 1.64, but still it was higher than its 2010 low of 1.48. The nondurable ratio slipped m/m to 0.95 but that was up from 0.87 last year.
The wholesale trade figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
Wholesale Sector - NAICS Classification (%) | Apr | Mar | Feb | Y/Y | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Inventories | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 6.6 |
Sales | 1.6 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -3.3 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 5.9 |
I/S Ratio | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.19 (Apr.'14) | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.16 |