Recent Updates
- US: Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey (May)
- US: Pending Home Sales Index (Apr)
- US: GDP and Corporate Profits (Q1, 2nd release)
- Canada: Retail Trade, Payroll Employment (Mar)
- South Africa: PPI (Apr) Government Debt (Apr-Prelim)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Eased Slightly in the Latest Week
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended May 21 were 210,000 (-52.4% y/y)...
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Increase Modestly in April
Manufacturers' new orders for durable goods increased 0.4% during April (12.2% y/y)...
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller June 2, 2015
Gasoline prices nudged up last week to an average $2.78 per gallon at the pump (-24.7% y/y) from $2.77 in the prior week. It remained the highest level of prices since early-December and prices were roughly one-third higher versus the low of $2.04 late in January. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in pump prices. The seasonally adjusted price of $2.64 per gallon was 17.8% higher than the early-February low, less of an increase than at the pump since prices typically rise ahead of the summer driving season. Spot market gasoline prices were little-changed w/w at an average $1.92 per gallon (-32.4% y/y) but they were down slightly from the high early in the week.
WTI crude oil costs again moved lower last week to an average $58.20 per barrel (-44.0% y/y) but remained up versus the March low of $44.39. This remained the most expensive price since the second week of December. Yesterday, prices reversed course and increased to $60.20 per barrel. These prices compare to a June 2014 high of $107.95. The seasonally adjusted price, generated by Haver Analytics, slipped last week to $57.36 per barrel. Brent crude oil prices declined last week to $61.57 per barrel.
Natural gas prices declined to $2.76 per mmbtu last week (-38.8% y/y) and fell further to $2.60 yesterday.
Gasoline inventories grew 4.3% y/y while inventories of all petroleum products increased 8.6% y/y. Gasoline demand increased 1.6% y/y while demand for all petroleum products rose 3.5% y/y.
The energy price data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy. The petroleum demand and inventory figures are from the Oil & Gas Journal Weekly. These data can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. The daily figures are in DAILY and greater detail on prices, demand and production, along with regional breakdowns, are in OILWKLY.
What have we learned from the crises of the last 20 years? is the title of yesterday's speech by Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer and it can be found here.
Weekly Energy Prices | 06/01/15 | 05/26/15 | 05/18/15 | Y/Y% | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular) | 2.78 | 2.77 | 2.74 | -24.7 | 2.30 | 3.33 | 3.30 |
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl., WSJ) | 58.20 | 58.95 | 60.01 | -44.0 | 93.64 | 97.96 | 94.20 |
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu, LA, WSJ) | 2.76 | 2.98 | 2.88 | -38.8 | 4.37 | 3.73 | 2.7 |