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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Robert Brusca May 27, 2015
German consumer climate will advance to 10.2 in in June after logging 10.1 in May. The estimate of climate continues to snake higher in Germany even though its pace has been damped in recent months.
The climate reading is at the top of its range. And all components are strong, at least by their queue standings and in most cases by both the queue measure (Count %) and the percent of all time range measure (% range). Among the GfK components, the economic index is faring the worst with a queue standing in its 84st percentile and a position of its historic high-low range that is only in its 69th percentile.
France continues to lag. Its confidence measure is only in its 55th queue percentile, barely above its median value (which occurs at the 50% mark of the queue standing). Italy is faring better than that, but still with a very pedestrian reading. Italian confidence sits in its 72nd queue percentile, a moderately positive reading. The U.K. is experiencing strong consumer conditions with its confidence measure higher only 2% of the time.
Germany continues to lead the EMU region with a strong economy and high consumer confidence. Even so, the advance of German confidence has slowed in recent months as German economic data have prevaricated. The rest of the EMU still seems to be making progress, but huge gaps in the quality of economic conditions remain among EMU members. And of course, conditions are on tenterhooks over the pending resolution of the circumstance of Greece. That continues to hang over all of the EMU.