Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
- US: Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Mar), IP & Capacity Util, Adv Retail Sales (Apr)
- US: NAHB\Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Mar)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Tom Moeller May 19, 2015
New home construction is emerging from its winter doldrums. Housing starts during April increased 20.2% to a 1.135 million annual rate (9.2% y/y), the highest point since November 2007. The gain followed an upwardly revised rise to 944,000 units, last month reported as 926,000. Last month's improvement surpassed expectations for 1.020 million starts in the Action Economics Forecast Survey.
Single-family starts rose 16.7% to 733,000 (13.8% y/y) following a 4.7% increase. Starts to build multi-family homes rose 27.2% to 402,000 (0.9% y/y) after a 5.3% March gain.
Starts rose m/m throughout most of the country. Activity in the Northeast surged 85.9% to 184,000 (50.0% y/y). Severe winter weather dropped them to 25% of February's level. New building rose 39.0% to 278,000 in the West (15.6% y/y). Starts in the Midwest gained 27.8% to 170,000 but they remained down 7.4% y/y. In the South, new building eased 1.8% to 503,000 (+2.5% y/y).
Permits to build housing units increased 10.1% to 1.143 million units (6.0% y/y) following declines in four of the previous five months. The latest level was the highest since December 2007. Single-family permits gained 3.7% (7.0% y/y) following a 2.8% rise. Multi-family permits rose 20.5% (4.3% y/y), rebounding after a 16.1% drop.
The housing starts figures can be found in Haver's USECON database. The expectations figure is contained in the AS1REPNA database.
The Puzzle of Weak First-Quarter GDP Growth from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco can be found here.
Housing Starts (000s, SAAR) | Apr | Mar | Feb | Apr Y/Y % | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 1,135 | 944 | 900 | 9.2 | 1,001 | 928 | 784 |
Single-Family | 733 | 628 | 600 | 13.8 | 647 | 620 | 537 |
Multi-Family | 402 | 316 | 300 | 0.9 | 354 | 308 | 247 |
Starts By Region | |||||||
Northeast | 184 | 99 | 46 | 50.0 | 110 | 97 | 80 |
Midwest | 170 | 133 | 102 | -7.4 | 160 | 149 | 129 |
South | 503 | 512 | 509 | 2.5 | 496 | 467 | 400 |
West | 278 | 200 | 243 | 15.6 | 236 | 217 | 175 |
Building Permits | 1,143 | 1,038 | 1,098 | 6.0 | 1,052 | 987 | 829 |