Recent Updates
- US: New Residential Sales with Revisions (Apr)
- Flash PMIs: Japan, France, Germany, Euro Area, UK, US (May)
- UK: Public Finance (Apr), CBI Distributive Trades Survey (May)
- Mexico: Construction (Mar), SemiMonthly CPI (May)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller May 5, 2015
Gasoline prices increased 9 cents last week to an average $2.66 per gallon at the pump, the highest level since early-December and up nearly one-third versus the late-January low of $2.04. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in pump prices. The seasonally adjusted price rose last week to $2.55 per gallon. Spot-market gasoline prices rose to an average $1.89 per gallon from an early-January low of $1.28.
Higher WTI crude oil costs are helping to generate the gasoline price increase. During the week ended April 31, crude oil prices rose to an average $57.99 per barrel (-42.3% y/y), up from the March low of $44.39. This remained most expensive since the second week of December. Yesterday, prices rose further to $58.93 per barrel. These prices compare to a June 2014 high of $107.95. The seasonally adjusted price, generated by Haver Analytics, gained last week to $55.71 per barrel. Brent crude oil prices increased to $63.49 per barrel last week (-41.8% y/y) and were $64.62 yesterday.
Natural gas prices held at $2.56 (-46.4% y/y) per mmbtu during the week ended April 31 and slipped to $2.72 yesterday.
Gasoline demand increased 2.6% y/y as of mid-month. Demand for all petroleum products rose 4.4% y/y. Gasoline inventories grew 7.5% y/y, but they have fallen sharply during the last two months. Inventories of all petroleum products increased 9.3% y/y and their level continues to surge.
The energy price data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy. The petroleum demand and inventory figures are from the Oil & Gas Journal Weekly. These data can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. The daily figures are in DAILY and greater detail on prices, demand and production, along with regional breakdowns, are in OILWKLY.
Weekly Energy Prices | 05/04/15 | 04/27/15 | 04/20/15 | Y/Y% | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular) | 2.66 | 2.57 | 2.49 | -27.7 | 2.30 | 3.33 | 3.30 |
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl., WSJ) | 57.99 | 56.60 | 54.78 | -42.3 | 93.64 | 97.96 | 94.20 |
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu, LA, WSJ) | 2.56 | 2.56 | 2.58 | -46.4 | 4.37 | 3.73 | 2.7 |