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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller March 18, 2015
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that their total Mortgage Market Volume Index declined 3.9% last week (+6.7% y/y). Applications have moved roughly one-quarter lower since a late-January peak. Refinance applications led the way with a 5.2% w/w decline (+10.8% y/y) and have fallen by more than one-third since the mid-January peak. Home purchase applications fell 1.9% w/w (+0.7% y/y) and were off 11.7% from the peak nine weeks ago.
The effective interest rate on a 15-year mortgage held steady at 3.36%. It remained higher, however, versus its low of 3.17% eight weeks ago. The effective rate on a 30-year fixed rate loan held at 4.10%, up from its low of 3.87%. The rate on a Jumbo 30-year loan fell w/w to 4.04%. For adjustable 5-year mortgages, the effective interest rate declined w/w to 3.15% but and compare to 3.02% eight weeks ago.
The average mortgage loan size held fairly steady at $264,300 (13.3% y/y). For home purchases, it gained to $296,100 (8.5% y/y) and for refinancings it was steady at $242,100 (19.5% y/y).
Applications for fixed interest rate loans increased 9.5% y/y but adjustable rate loan applications declined 25.9% y/y.
The survey covers over 75 percent of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications, and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (SA, 3/16/90=100) | 03/13/15 | 03/06/15 | 02/27/15 | Y/Y % | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 399.3 | 415.4 | 420.7 | 6.7 | 361.5 | 616.6 | 813.8 |
Purchase | 170.4 | 173.0 | 169.8 | 0.7 | 172.1 | 197.5 | 187.8 |
Refinancing | 1,720.3 | 1,815.3 | 1,870.3 | 10.8 | 1,449.8 | 3,070.0 | 4,505.0 |
15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 3.36 | 3.36 | 3.35 | 3.64 (3/14) |
3.54 | 3.42 | 3.25 |