Recent Updates
- Macao: Visitor Arrivals (Apr)
- Turkey: Domestic Debt by Holder (APR)
- UK Regional: Northern Ireland: Mortgage Possession (Q1)
- UK Regional: GfK Consumer Confidence Barometer by Region (May)
- North Macedonia: Broad Money, Other Depository Corporations'
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller March 10, 2015
Gasoline prices bumped up another 2 cents last week to $2.49 cents per gallon. The rise now totals 44 cents (21.7%) from the low 6 weeks ago. Despite the gains, prices remained well below the $3.70 per gallon peak reached last June. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in pump prices. The seasonally adjusted price slipped 1 cent last week to $2.48 per gallon and increased 24 cents (10.7%) from the low, indicating that much of recent pump price rise was to be expected.
For the week ended March 6, WTI crude oil prices improved to an average $50.38 per barrel (-51.1% y/y), up from the low of $45.72. Yesterday, prices were fairly steady at $50.00 per barrel. These prices compare to a June peak of $107.95. The seasonally adjusted price generated by Haver Analytics edged higher to $50.90 per barrel last week, up from the low of 48.99. Brent crude oil prices increased last week to $60.12 per barrel (-44.9% y/y) and were $58.67 yesterday.
Natural gas prices fell to $3.04 (-50.5% y/y) per mmbtu during the week ended March 6. Prices fell back to $2.72 yesterday.
The demand for all petroleum products strengthened 7.7% y/y and gasoline demand increased 4.0% y/y. Inventories of crude oil and petroleum products increased 8.2% y/y and gasoline inventories grew 4.8% y/y.
The energy price data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy. The petroleum demand and inventory figures are from the Oil & Gas Journal Weekly. These data can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. The daily figures are in DAILY and greater detail on prices, demand and production, along with regional breakdowns, are in OILWKLY.
Weekly Energy Prices | 03/09/15 | 03/02/15 | 02/23/15 | Y/Y% | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular) | 2.49 | 2.47 | 2.33 | -29.2 | 3.36 | 3.51 | 3.62 |
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl., WSJ) | 50.38 | 49.16 | 51.69 | -51.1 | 93.63 | 97.95 | 94.20 |
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu, LA, WSJ) | 3.04 | 3.08 | 2.96 | -50.5 | 4.37 | 3.73 | 2.7 |