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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller March 5, 2015
New orders in the manufacturing sector slipped 0.2% (-2.3% y/y) following a little-revised 3.5% December decline. The fall was the sixth in as many months and roughly matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey for a 0.3% slip.
Durable goods orders increased 2.8% last month and were up 5.5% y/y. The gain was unrevised from the advance durable goods figure. Transportation orders jumped 9.7% (8.3% y/y) as nondefense aircraft orders surged. Machinery orders gained 1.4% (-2.4% y/y) and computers & electronic equipment orders improved 1.7% (6.1% y/y). Electrical equipment bookings, however, dropped 3.8% (+0.5% y/y). Orders for nondurable goods (which equal shipments) declined 3.1% (-9.1% y/y) as the value of petroleum shipments fell 11.7% (-36.7% y/y) due to lower prices. Basic chemical shipments declined 1.3% (-3.1% y/y). Apparel shipments fell 2.1% (+15.1% y/y) and food product shipments slipped 0.2% (+3.9% y/y). Durable goods shipments declined 1.0% (+5.7% y/y) led by a 1.5% fall (3.5% y/y) in machinery shipments. Electrical equipment & appliance shipments were off 0.7% (+4.2% y/y).
Unfilled orders declined 0.2% (+9.8% y/y) while backlogs excluding the transportation sector slipped 0.1% (+5.9% y/y). Machinery backlogs declined 0.3% (+5.3% y/y) and unfilled orders for transportation equipment also fell 0.3% (+12.2% y/y). Order backlogs of computers & electronic products gained 0.5% (7.6% y/y) while unfilled orders of furniture edged 0.1% higher (10.7% y/y).
Inventories were off 0.4% (+2.0% y/y) following a like decline in December. Inventories excluding the transportation sector fell 0.6% (+0.3% y/y). Nondurable goods inventories led the decline with a 1.7% fall (-4.3% y/y) that reflected an 10.2% drop (-19.2% y/y) in petroleum inventories. Nondurable inventories excluding oil slipped 0.1% (+1.3% y/y). Basic chemical inventories fell 0.6% (-0.1% y/y) but apparel inventories gained 1.7% (26.7% y/y). Textile mill inventories edged 0.4% lower (+1.2% y/y) and paper products inventories gained 0.5% (3.0% y/y).
The factory sector figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
Factory Sector- NAICS Classification (%) | Jan | Dec | Nov | Y/Y | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Orders | -0.2 | -3.5 | -1.7 | -2.3 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
Shipments | -2.0 | -0.9 | -1.0 | -2.1 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 |
Inventories | -0.4 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
Unfilled Orders | -0.2 | -0.9 | 0.2 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 7.0 | 3.7 |