Recent Updates
- Macao: Visitor Arrivals (Apr)
- Turkey: Domestic Debt by Holder (APR)
- UK Regional: Northern Ireland: Mortgage Possession (Q1)
- UK Regional: GfK Consumer Confidence Barometer by Region (May)
- North Macedonia: Broad Money, Other Depository Corporations'
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller February 9, 2015
The Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) is a tool created by the Federal
Reserve Board to assess changes in labor market conditions. It draws on
19 indicators, from broad measures like the unemployment rate to
narrower indicators like surveys of business hiring plans. It aims to
produce a single measure to gauge whether labor markets, on the whole,
are improving or not. Haver Analytics presents only the change in
the index, rather than its level. Because the common components of the
trends are slow- moving in our specification, short-run changes in the
index are informative about movements in overall labor market conditions.
The change in the LMCI dipped to 4.9 during January from 7.3 in December. The m/m fall reflected the lessened gain in nonfarm payrolls, the uptick in the unemployment rate and the stability of the insured unemployment rate offsetting improvement in other indicators such as the change in average hourly earnings and the rise in the labor force participation rate. Despite the latest decline, the index continued to suggest steady improvement in the labor market as it has trended sideways.
Labor Market Conditions Index | Jan | Dec | Nov | Y/Y | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Index M/M Change | 4.9 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 3.9 |