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- Malaysia: Motor Vehicle Sales (Apr)
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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller January 28, 2015
At today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed reaffirmed its prior view that the U.S. expansion is continuing at a "solid pace." Strong job growth and a low unemployment rate were boosting consumer spending, aided further by the decline in energy prices. The continuing recovery in capital spending was seen to be outpacing the "slow" housing market recovery.
Regarding price inflation, the Fed noted that lower energy prices had reduced inflation below its long-term objective of 2%. Moreover, longer-term inflation expectations remained stable.
The Fed expected that the moderate economic expansion would continue and that, following near-term pressures related to lower energy prices, inflation would rise to its 2% target.
As a result of these views, the Fed elected to leave its target for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent.
The press release for today's FOMC meeting can be found here.
The backdrop to today's meeting was slightly faster M2 growth of 6.3% y/y and a pickup in growth of the monetary base to 8.4% y/y.
Haver's SURVEYS database contains the economic projections from the Federal Reserve Board.
Current | Last | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Federal Funds Rate, % (Target) | 0.00-0.25 | 0.00-0.25 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.17 |
Discount Rate, % | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.72 |