Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
- US: Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Mar), IP & Capacity Util, Adv Retail Sales (Apr)
- US: NAHB\Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Mar)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Tom Moeller January 12, 2015
Inventories at the wholesale level during November jumped 0.8% following a
0.6% October rise, earlier reported as 0.4%. Durable goods inventories led the
gain with a 0.8% increase (7.1% y/y). It reflected a 2.6% rise (15.1% y/y) in
computer equipment, a 1.3% gain (8.8% y/y) in electrical equipment and a 0.9%
increase (9.7% y/y) in machinery. Nondurable goods inventories rose 0.7% (4.4%
y/y) driven by a 5.7% surge (-7.4% y/y) in farm products and a 0.4% rise in
chemicals. Petroleum inventories fell 3.7% (-15.5% y/y). Paper & products
inventories were off 2.0% (+0.9% y/y) and apparel inventories dropped 1.2%
(+7.9% y/y).
Wholesale sector sales fell 0.3% (+2.4% y/y) reflecting a 0.8% decline (-0.8% y/y) in nondurables. Chemical sales were off 4.1% (+0.1% y/y), petroleum sales declined 0.5% (-14.1% y/y) and paper & products sales fell 0.6% (+4.0% y/y). These declines were offset by sales of durable goods which rose 0.2% (6.3% y/y), led by a 2.4% rise (8.3% y/y) in electrical & electronic goods and a 1.8% gain (9.6% y/y) in furniture sales. To the downside were metals sales by 1.2% (+14.9% y/y) and machinery sales which fell 0.5% (+8.0% y/y).
The inventory-to-sales ratio ticked up to 1.21, its highest level since October 2009. The nondurable goods ratio jumped to 0.87, its highest point since April 2013, reflecting higher ratios for chemicals, raw farm products and chemicals. The durable goods ratio was stable at 1.58 for the third straight month. Increases in machinery and metal were offset by declines in furniture (to the lowest level since 2007) and electronic products.
The wholesale trade figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
Wholesale Sector - NAICS Classification (%) | Nov | Oct | Sep | Y/Y | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Inventories | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 7.1 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 9.4 |
Sales | -0.3 | -0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 12.4 |
I/S Ratio | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.16 (Nov.'13) | 1.17 | 1.18 | 1.15 |