Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
- US: Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Mar), IP & Capacity Util, Adv Retail Sales (Apr)
- US: NAHB\Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Mar)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Tom Moeller December 13, 2011
Small businesses are feeling better about the economy. The National Federation of Independent Business indicated that its November index of small business optimism rose to 92.0 from an unrevised 90.2 in October. The job openings reading was the highest of the economic recovery as was the percentage of firms planning to increase employment. Improvement in firms' expectations for higher sales rose to its highest since April and the reading for the economy was its best since June. Also, the percentage of firms feeling that now is a good time to expand the business was its highest since January while those feeling that credit was harder to get slipped to just 10%. No firms, on balance, were raising prices, its lowest level since January. The percentage of firms planning to raise prices was a low 15%.
The most important problems faced by small business were poor sales (25%), government requirements (19%), taxes (19%), inflation (6%), insurance cost & availability (8%), competition from large businesses (7%), quality of labor (5%), financial & interest rates (3%) and the cost of labor (4%).
Roughly 24 million small businesses exist in the U.S. and they create 80% of all new jobs. The NFIB figures can be found in Haver's SURVEYS database.
National Federation of Independent Business | Nov | Oct | Sep | Nov'10 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Small Business Optimism Index (SA,1986=100) | 92.0 | 90.2 | 88.9 | 93.2 | 89.9 | 86.7 | 89.8 |
Firms Expecting Higher Real Sales In Six Months (Net %) | 4 | -4 | -6 | 6 | 1 | -11 | -7 |
Firms Expecting Economy To Improve (Net %) | -12 | -16 | -22 | 16 | -1 | -0 | -10 |
Firms With One or More Job Openings (Net %) | 16 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
Firms Reporting That Credit Was Harder To Get (Net %) | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
Firms Raising Avg. Selling Prices (Net %) | 0 | -1 | 6 | -4 | -12 | -20 | 17 |