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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller November 28, 2011
Total new home sales nudged up 1.3% last month to 307,000 (AR) following a 3.4% September gain, revised down from 5.7% reported initially. Sales roughly matched Consensus expectations for 310,000. They have moved sideways since the removal last year of the home-buyers tax credit. Price weakness again may have prompted last months' sales increase. The median price of a new single family home fell 0.5% m/m to $212,300 (+4.0% y/y). Earlier months' figures were revised slightly higher. The average price dropped by roughly the same amount m/m to $242,300 (-4.8% y/y).
As has been the case recently, sales performance varied by region of the country. Sales in the Midwest jumped 22.2% (37.5% y/y) while sales in the West rose 14.9%, up by more than one half y/y. Sales in the Northeast were unchanged (-26.7% y/y) while in the South sales fell 9.5% (-5.6% y/y).
The inventory of unsold homes remained at the series low (-19.0% y/y) and it reached a new cycle-low of 6.3 months of sales. Low inventories of unsold homes are fairly common across the country.
The length of time to sell a new home fell to a median 7.4 months versus 11.4 months during all of last year.The data in this report are available in Haver's USECON database. The expectation figure from Action Economics is available in the AS1REPNA database.
Construction and the Great Recession from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis is available here.
U.S. New Home Sales | Oct | Sep | Aug | Y/Y % | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total (SAAR, 000s) | 307 | 303 | 293 | 8.9 | 321 | 374 | 482 |
Northeast | 22 | 22 | 25 | -26.7 | 31 | 31 | 35 |
Midwest | 55 | 45 | 49 | 37.5 | 45 | 54 | 69 |
South | 153 | 169 | 156 | -5.6 | 173 | 202 | 265 |
West | 77 | 67 | 63 | 54.0 | 74 | 87 | 113 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 212,300 | 213,300 | 217,600 | 4.0 | 221,242 | 214,500 | 230,408 |