Recent Updates
- US: Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey (May)
- US: Pending Home Sales Index (Apr)
- US: GDP and Corporate Profits (Q1, 2nd release)
- Canada: Retail Trade, Payroll Employment (Mar)
- South Africa: PPI (Apr) Government Debt (Apr-Prelim)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Eased Slightly in the Latest Week
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended May 21 were 210,000 (-52.4% y/y)...
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Increase Modestly in April
Manufacturers' new orders for durable goods increased 0.4% during April (12.2% y/y)...
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller November 15, 2011
Consumer spending continued on a moderate growth track last month. October retail & food service sales increased 0.5% following an unrevised 1.1% September gain. The October increase roughly matched Consensus expectations for a 0.4% rise, according to the Action Economics survey. Three-month growth in sales rose to 8.2% (AR), its highest in six months.
Last month's sales strength was led by a 3.7% surge (3.5% y/y) in electronics, a 1.5% increase (5.6% y/y) in building materials and a 1.5% gain (11.1% y/y) in non-store retailers. Sales at food & beverage stores also posted a strong 1.1% gain (6.3% y/y) while food service & drinking places expenditures increased 0.4% (6.7% y/y) following the 1.2% September jump. Motor vehicles also rose 0.4% (7.0% y/y) in conjunction with the 1.2% gain in unit purchases.
Sales of other discretionary items were soft. Sales at clothing & accessory stores fell 0.7% (+5.8% y/y) while sales of furniture & home furnishings also were off 0.7% (+3.4% y/y). Sales at general merchandise stores slipped marginally (+3.8% y/y). Gasoline service station sales also declined 0.4% (+15.6% y/y). Gas prices slipped 0.3% when seasonally adjusted by Haver. Excluding both autos and gasoline, retail sales increased 0.8% last month (6.0% y/y), roughly double the gains of the prior three months.
The retail sales figure are available in Haver's USECON database. The Action Economics figures are in the AS1REPNA database.
Retail Spending (%) | Oct | Sep | Aug | Oct Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Retail Sales & Food Services | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 7.2 | 6.4 | -7.0 | -1.2 |
Excluding Autos | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 7.3 | 5.7 | -5.5 | 2.1 |
Retail Sales | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 7.3 | 6.8 | -7.8 | -1.6 |
Motor Vehicle & Parts | 0.4 | 4.2 | -0.8 | 7.0 | 10.0 | -13.7 | -14.0 |
Retail excluding Autos | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 7.4 | 6.1 | -6.3 | 2.1 |
Gasoline Stations | -0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 15.6 | 16.9 | -22.2 | 10.4 |
Non-Auto Less Gasoline | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 4.2 | -2.9 | 0.9 |
Food Service | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 6.7 | 2.7 | -0.5 | 2.2 |