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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
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Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
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by Tom Moeller November 9, 2011
Inventories at the wholesale level slipped 0.1% (+11.9% y/y) during September following a 0.1% August uptick. The decline was led by a 4.0% fall (+13.2% y/y) in petroleum. Less petroleum, inventories rose 0.1% (11.9%) as industry changes were mixed. Durable goods inventories rose 0.4% (12.0% y/y) led by a 2.7% jump (12.5% y/y) in machinery. Other durables inventories were strong as well. Nondurables inventories were mixed m/m.
Sales in the wholesale sector rose a firm 0.5% (15.0% y/y). Again, a 3.9% rise in petroleum led the sales gain. Less petroleum, sales slipped 0.1% (+11.5% y/y). Sales of durable goods fell 0.4% due to widespread industry weakness. Sales of nondurable goods also posted widespread industry declines.
The wholesale sector's inventory-to-sales ratio held m/m at a low 1.15. A slight uptick in durable goods industries was offset be sharp declines in the nondurables sector.
The wholesale trade figures are available in Haver's USECON database. The expectation figure is in AS1REPNA.
Generation Recession? How The Recession May Change America from the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland is available here.
Wholesale Sector - NAICS Classification (%) | Sep | Aug | Jul | Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sales | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 15.0 | 12.6 | -16.1 | 5.9 |
Inventories | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 11.9 | 11.0 | -11.8 | 3.7 |
I/S Ratio | 1.15 | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.16 | 1.16 | 1.30 | 1.21 |