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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller November 8, 2011
Divergent movement underscores recent trends in energy prices. The pump price for regular gasoline fell three cents last week to $3.42 per gallon. Prices remained down versus May when they averaged $3.91. Retail prices usually start to ease this time of year with reduced seasonal demand. To account for this pattern, Haver Analytics calculates seasonal factors. As a result, the adjusted gasoline price ticked up to $3.59 per gallon, up eighteen cents in the last four weeks. Yesterday, the wholesale price for a gallon of unleaded rose to $2.78, up eight cents from last week's average.
Gasoline demand fell a sharp 4.0% on average during the last four weeks versus last year. Demand for residual fuel oil, used for heating, dropped 20.0% y/y but distillate demand rose 6.6%. Inventories of crude oil and petroleum products fell 5.0% year-to-year compared to 10.0% growth in the middle of 2009.
Crude oil prices moved higher last week. Light Sweet Crude averaged $93.24 versus $79.71 averaged during the first week of October. Yesterday, prices were even higher at $95.52 but they remained down from the late-April peak of $113.93. Brent crude remained relatively expensive versus WTI and yesterday sold for $114.50 per barrel. Prices peaked earlier at $126.21.
Finally, natural gas prices fell last week to $3.48 per mmbtu and prices remained lower versus last year's early-January peak of $6.50. Yesterday, prices fell further to $3.36.
The energy price data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy and can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. The daily figures are in DAILY and the gasoline demand figures are in OILWKLY
Weekly Price | 11/7/11 | 10/31/11 | 10/24/11 | Y/Y% | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Regular Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular) | 3.42 | 3.45 | 3.46 | 19.5 | 2.78 | 2.35 | 3.25 |
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl.) | 93.24 | 92.32 | 86.71 | 10.0 | 79.51 | 61.39 | 100.16 |
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu) | 3.48 | 3.62 | 3.61 | 1.7 | 4.40 | 3.95 | 8.88 |