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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller November 3, 2011
Worker productivity grew at the fastest rate last quarter since Q1'10. The 3.1% gain followed two quarterly declines. Nevertheless, the y/y increase held low at 1.1%, about where it's been all year. That compares to 4.1% growth during 2010. The Q3 increase exceeded Consensus expectations for 2.5% growth. Output rose at a 3.8% rate (2.5% y/y) and hours worked grew at a 0.6% rate (1.4% y/y), the weakest since Q1 of last year.
Compensation growth decelerated to 0.6%, the weakest since Q4 of last year. That weakness, with improved productivity, pushed down unit labor costs at a 2.4% rate (+1.2% y/y), the first decline since Q4'10. The moderate 1.2% y/y increase followed declines in both 2009 and 2010.
Factory sector productivity also bounced back last quarter. The 5.4% increase (3.0% y/y) was its greatest since Q4 2009. It resulted from a 4.7% gain (4.1% y/y) in real output and a 0.8% decline (+1.1% y/y) in hours worked. Compensation ticked up at just a 0.6% rate (2.5% y/y) so factory sector unit labor costs fell 4.6% (-0.5% y/y).
The productivity & cost figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
How Do Businesses Recruit? from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia is available here.
Productivity & Costs (SAAR,%) | Q3'11 | Q2'11 | Q1'11 | Q3 Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nonfarm Business Sector | |||||||
Output per Hour (Productivity) | 3.1 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
Compensation per Hour | 0.6 | 2.7 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3.3 |
Unit Labor Costs | -2.4 | 2.8 | 6.2 | 1.2 | -2.0 | -0.7 | 2.8 |
Manufacturing Sector | |||||||
Output per Hour | 5.4 | -2.3 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 5.9 | -0.4 | -0.4 |
Compensation per Hour | 0.6 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
Unit Labor Costs | -4.6 | 5.5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | -4.2 | 4.0 | 4.8 |