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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller October 12, 2011
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor
Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the August job openings rate slipped m/m
to 2.3%. The latest reading remained improved versus the recession low of
1.6%. The job openings rate is the number of job openings on the last
business day of the month as a percent of total employment plus job
openings. Falling hard, however, was the actual number of job
openings. They posted a 4.9% m/m drop (+6.8% y/y) to the lowest
level since May. The number of private sector openings fell 5.1% (+7.9%
y/y) while public sector openings fell 3.2% (-2.3% y/y).
The private-sector job openings rate slipped m/m to 2.5% from a revised 2.6% but has been moving higher since the recovery began. Professional & business services job openings slipped m/m to 3.5%. That equaled last year's average and was up from the low of 2.1%. Openings in education & health services recently have been stable at 2.9%, as they have been in leisure hospitality at 2.5%. In manufacturing, openings held steady m/m at 2.0% and remained more-than-double the mid-2009 low. The job openings rate in government was more depressed at 1.3%.
The hires rate improved slightly to 3.1%, still near the lowest level since January. The hires rate is the number of hires during the month divided by employment. The hires rate in the private sector held m/m at 3.4% versus 3.5% during Q2. The government's depressed 1.2% rate was near where it's been since November. Overall, hires in the private sector rose 3.5% y/y. Hires in professional & business services were strongest with an 8.0% y/y rise. Education & health rose 1.9% y/y but hires in the factory sector fell 2.7% y/y.
The job separations rate has been stable recently at 3.0% but the actual number of separations fell 0.7% y/y. Separations include quits, layoffs, discharges, and other separations as well as retirements. The layoff & discharge rate alone held at 1.3%, just above the all-time low. The private sector layoff rate held at an elevated 1.4% but in the public sector it was 0.5%.
The JOLTS survey dates only to December 2000 and the figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey) | Aug | Jul | Jun | Aug-10 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Job Openings, Total | |||||||
Rate(%) | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
Total(000s) | 3,056 | 3,213 | 3,169 | 2,862 | 2,921 | 2,376 | 2,938 |
Hires, Total | |||||||
Rate(%) | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 36.3 | 34.7 | 39.3 |
Total(000s) | 4,014 | 3,976 | 4,068 | 3,886 | 47,190 | 45,364 | 53,903 |
Layoffs & Discharges, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 16.4 | 20.0 | 17.6 |
Total (000s) | 1,659 | 1,696 | 1,773 | 1,809 | 21,225 | 26,328 | 23,706 |