Recent Updates
- US: Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey (May)
- US: Pending Home Sales Index (Apr)
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Economy in Brief
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Eased Slightly in the Latest Week
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended May 21 were 210,000 (-52.4% y/y)...
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Increase Modestly in April
Manufacturers' new orders for durable goods increased 0.4% during April (12.2% y/y)...
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller October 5 2011
The index of total mortgage applications fell 4.3% last week to 734.0
(March 16, 1990 = 100). Despite the decline, applications rose slightly
for the full month. Overall, applications have risen more-than 80% since
their early-year low. The jump has come as lower interest rates spurred
refinancing.
Applications to refinance have more-than doubled since April but they fell 5.2% last week. That's on the heels of double-digit increases during the prior two weeks. Weekly applications to purchase a home slipped 0.8% w/w. They're roughly 10% above the August low but still off almost two-thirds versus before the recession.
The effective rate on fixed-interest, conventional 15-year mortgages held near the record low at 3.60%. The effective rate on 30-year fixed rate loans fell to a new low of 4.31%. On a 30-year Jumbo the effective rate was 4.62%. Though it's narrowed slightly of late, the spread between 15- and 30-year loan rates continued wide by historical standards. The effective interest rate on an adjustable 5-year mortgage ticked up to 3.17% versus 3.65% at the beginning of the year.
The Mortgage Bankers Association surveys between 20 to 35 of the top lenders in the U.S. housing industry to derive its refinance, purchase and market indexes. The weekly survey covers roughly 50% of all U.S. residential mortgage applications processed each week by mortgage banks, commercial banks and thrifts. The figures for weekly mortgage applications are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (SA, 3/16/90=100) | 9/30/11 | 9/23/11 | 9/16/11 | Y/Y % | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 734.9 | 767.9 | 702.7 | -6.1 | 659.3 | 736.4 | 642.9 |
Purchase | 175.2 | 176.6 | 172.2 | -11.8 | 199.8 | 263.5 | 345.4 |
Refinancing | 4,019.0 | 4,239.6 | 3,813.2 | -3.9 | 3,348.1 | 3,509.2 | 2,394.1 |
15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 3.60 | 3.58 | 3.57 | 4.15 (9/10) |
4.39 | 4.85 | 5.88 |