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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller September 29, 2011
The job market may be on the mend.Initial claims for jobless insurance dropped a sharp 37,000 to 391,000,000 last week from 428,000 (revised from 423,000). The latest figure was the lowest since the first week of April and was far lower than Consensus expectations for 420,000 claims, according to the Action Economics survey. The decline lowered the 4-week moving average of claims to 417,000.
Continuing claims for unemployment insurance slipped to 3.729M in the September 17th week. It has been trending sideways since early this year. The insured unemployment rate held at 3.0%. By state, the rate varied with Virginia (1.4%), Texas (1.8%), Ohio (1.9%), Colorado (2.1%) and Tennessee (2.1%) at the low end of the range. The rates in Connecticut (3.3%), Nevada (3.4%), California (3.5%), New Jersey (3.7%) and Pennsylvania (3.9%) were at the high end.
The grand total of those receiving unemployment insurance, including extended programs run by the states and the federal government, was 6.985M as of September 10, down by one-quarter y/y. Regular extended benefits, with eligibility dependent on conditions in individual states, recovered the prior week's decline with a rise to 534,870 (-40.4% y/y) and those on the special "EUC 2008" programs jumped to 3.037M (-23.4% y/y).
Data on weekly unemployment insurance programs are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database, including the seasonal factor series, and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states, including the unemployment rates that determine individual state eligibility for the extended benefits programs and specific "tiers" of the emergency program, are in REGIONW, a database of weekly data for states and various regional divisions. Action Economics estimates are in AS1REPNA.
Unemployment Insurance(000s) | 9/24/11 | 9/17/11 | 9/10/11 | Y/Y% | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 391 | 428 | 432 | -13.1 | 459 | 574 | 418 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 3,729 | 3,741 | -16.4 | 4,544 | 5,807 | 3,338 |
Insured Unemployment Rate(%) | -- | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 (9/10) |
3.6 | 4.4 | 2.5 |
Total "All Programs" (NSA) | -- | -- | 6.985 | -21.8 | 9.850M | 9.163M | 3.903M |