Recent Updates
- US: Philadelphia Fed State Coincidence Indexes (Apr)
- US: Advance Durable Goods (Apr)
- Maldives: Depository Corporations Survey (Apr)
- Mexico: GDP (Q1), Economic Activity (Mar), Trade (Apr)
- Bosnia: PPI (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller September 28, 2011
Low interest rates continue to generate strength in the mortgage loan market. The total index of mortgage applications jumped 9.3% last week to 767.9 (March 16, 1990 = 100). That followed a 10.0% rise during the prior week which was very much upwardly revised. Overall, applications have risen more-than 80% since their early year low. The jump has come as lower interest rates spurred refinancing.
Applications to refinance have more-than doubled since April and they rose 11.2% last week. That's on the heels of a 13.5% gain during the prior week. Weekly applications to purchase a home rose 2.6% w/w. They're more-than-10% above the August low but still off almost two-thirds versus before the recession.
The effective rate on fixed-interest, conventional 15-year mortgages held near the record low at 3.58%. The effective rate on 30-year fixed rate loans fell to a new low of 4.35%. On a 30-year Jumbo the effective rate was 4.62%. Though it's narrowed slightly of late, the spread between 15- and 30-year loan rates continued wide by historical standards. The effective interest rate on an adjustable 5-year mortgage slipped to 3.13% versus 3.65% at the beginning of the year.
The Mortgage Bankers Association surveys between 20 to 35 of the top lenders in the U.S. housing industry to derive its refinance, purchase and market indexes. The weekly survey covers roughly 50% of all U.S. residential mortgage applications processed each week by mortgage banks, commercial banks and thrifts. The figures for weekly mortgage applications are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (SA, 3/16/90=100) | 9/23/11 | 9/16/11 | 9/9/11 | Y/Y % | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 767.9 | 702.7 | 638.7 | -2.1 | 659.3 | 736.4 | 642.9 |
Purchase | 176.6 | 172.2 | 170.8 | -2.9 | 199.8 | 263.5 | 345.4 |
Refinancing | 4,239.6 | 3,813.2 | 3,361.0 | -1.1 | 3,348.1 | 3,509.2 | 2,394.1 |
15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 3.58 | 3.57 | 3.69 | 4.15 (9/10) |
4.39 | 4.85 | 5.88 |