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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
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Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller September 14, 2011
The U.S. producer price index for finished
goods was unchanged last month after an unrevised 0.2% July gain. The
figure compared to Consensus expectations for a 0.1% slip, according to
the Action Economics survey. Like July, the change in energy and food
prices offset one another. Excluding these two components, the 0.1% price
gain was the weakest since May and was half of the expected increase. However,
there's evidence of firmer pricing power. The 2.5% twelve-month increase
in core prices was double last year's rise and the 3.4% three-month gain
was triple.
Finished consumer goods prices were unchanged (8.2% y/y) with the rise held back by lower energy prices. Conversely, the 1.1% rise in food prices doubled July's gain. Outside of energy & food, pricing power weakened with a 0.1% m/m rise (2.5% y/y). Within the components, women's apparel prices rose 1.8% y/y after last year's 0.5% y/y decline and men's apparel costs jumped 5.2% y/y after a 0.3% 2010 uptick. Household furniture prices rose 2.0%, up from 0.3% last year, and appliance prices rose 1.5% after a 0.6% fall in 2010. Passenger car prices reversed most of last year's 1.4% decline and tobacco prices rose a stable and strong 6.2% y/y. Capital goods prices slipped 0.2% last month but were up 1.6% y/y after last year's 0.4% gain.
The energy price decline reflected a 1.0% drop (+32.8% y/y) in gasoline and a 1.2% decline (+37.0% y/y) in home heating oil. Electric power costs slipped 0.1% (+1.1% y/y). Food prices again rose a strong 1.1% (8.4% y/y) led by a more-than one-third rise in prices for eggs and the 17.2% rise in beef. Dairy prices also posted a firm 17.8% y/y gain and vegetable prices rose 6.3%.
Intermediate goods prices fell 0.5% as energy prices declined 2.3% (+19.1% y/y) and food prices rose 1.7% (15.3% y/y). Core-intermediate prices slipped 0.1% (+7.5% y/y). Crude materials prices ticked up 0.2% as energy prices fell 5.1% (+5.3% y/y) but food prices jumped 4.7% (29.1% y/y). However, prices less food & energy rose another, strong 1.6% and by one-quarter y/y. Strength in aluminum as well as iron & steel scrap prices continued with a one-quarter y/y rise.
The PPI data are contained in Haver's USECON database with further detail in PPI and PPIR. The expectation figure is available in the AS1REPNA database.
Producer Price Index (%) | Aug | Jul | Jun | Aug Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Finished Goods | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.4 | 6.5 | 4.2 | -2.5 | 6.4 |
Energy | -1.0 | -0.6 | -2.8 | 16.3 | 13.7 | -17.7 | 14.1 |
Food | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 8.4 | 3.9 | -1.4 | 6.8 |
Less Food & Energy | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 3.4 |
Intermediate Goods | -0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 10.6 | 6.4 | -8.4 | 10.3 |
Less Food & Energy | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 7.5 | 4.3 | -4.2 | 7.4 |
Crude Materials | 0.2 | -1.2 | -0.6 | 18.5 | 21.4 | -30.3 | 21.5 |
Less Food & Energy | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 24.2 | 32.6 | -23.4 | 14.7 |