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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller September 13, 2011
The pump price for a gallon of regular gasoline fell one penny last week to $3.66. Prices remained down thirty cents since the May peak. Pump prices usually rise this time of year with increased seasonal demand. To account for this pattern, Haver Analytics calculates seasonal factors. As a result, the adjusted gasoline price fell to $3.52 per gallon. Yesterday, the wholesale price for a gallon of unleaded fell to $2.82 per gallon versus last week's average $2.93.
Crude oil prices slipped last week to $87.91 for a barrel of WTI. They remained down from the late-April peak of $113.93. Yesterday, prices held at $88.19. Brent crude remained relatively expensive and yesterday sold for $114.50. Prices peaked at $126.21.
Higher prices continued to negatively affect demand for petroleum products. Gasoline demand fell 2.9% on average during the last four weeks versus last year. Demand for residual fuel oil, used for heating, fell 8.0% y/y but distillate demand rose 1.2%. Inventories of crude oil and petroleum products fell 4.5% year-to-year compared to 10.0% growth in the middle of 2009.
Finally, natural gas prices fell w/w to $3.97 per mmbtu. Prices remained down from last year's early-January high of $6.50. Yesterday, prices slipped further to $3.94.
The energy price data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy and can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. The daily figures are in DAILY and the gasoline demand figures are in OILWKLY
Weekly Price | 9/12/11 | 9/5/11 | 8/29/11 | Y/Y% | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Regular Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular) | 3.66 | 3.67 | 3.63 | 34.5 | 2.78 | 2.35 | 3.25 |
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl.) | 87.91 | 88.07 | 85.05 | 17.4 | 79.51 | 61.39 | 100.16 |
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu) | 3.97 | 4.03 | 4.01 | 4.0 | 4.40 | 3.95 | 8.88 |