Recent Updates
- US: New Residential Sales with Revisions (Apr)
- Flash PMIs: Japan, France, Germany, Euro Area, UK, US (May)
- UK: Public Finance (Apr), CBI Distributive Trades Survey (May)
- Mexico: Construction (Mar), SemiMonthly CPI (May)
- Brazil: IPCA-15 (May)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller August 31, 2011
The outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that job
cut announcements during August fell back following their July surge. The
decline to 51,114 nevertheless left them up 47.0% from last August. The uptick
in announcements was led by the government, financial, industrial goods and
entertainment/leisure industries. In most other industries the level of job cut
announcements fell. During the last ten years there has been a 67% correlation
between the three-month moving average of announced job cuts and the three-month
change in payroll employment. Job cut announcements differ from layoffs. Many
are achieved through attrition, early retirement or just never occur.
Challenger also samples firms' hiring plans which reversed its July deterioration and rose to 15,201. That remained, however, still near the recovery low. The automotive, education, retail and services industries showed the largest improvements this month.
The Challenger figures are available in Haver's SURVEYS database.
Local Hangovers: How the Housing Boom and Bust Affected Jobs in Metro Areas from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York is available here.
Challenger, Gray & Christmas | Aug | Jul | Jun | Y/Y % | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Announced Job Cuts | 51,114 | 66,414 | 41,432 | 47.0 | 529,973 | 1,288,030 | 1,223,993 |
Announced Hiring Plans | 15,201 | 10,706 | 15,498 | 8.0 | 402,638 | 272,573 | 118,600 |