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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Carol Stone August 10, 2011
Total mortgage applications jumped 21.7% in the week through August 5, to 688.0 (March 16, 1990 = 100). The gain was in applications to refinance, which surged 30.4% to 3,625.7; those for home purchase remained sluggish with a decrease of 0.9% to 184.2. The average loan size for both types of transactions rose, with purchase applications wanting $219,700, up 2.0% on the week and the highest since early June. Refi applications saw much greater advances that averaged $238,000, up 17.9% and the highest since this time last year.
The effective rate on fixed-interest conventional 15-year mortgages has dropped the last two weeks and set a new record low of 3.76%. The effective rate on 30-year fixed rate loans fell somewhat too, to 4.58% from 4.60% last week and 4.80% in the July 22 week, when we last commented on these developments. Its record low occurred last October 8, at 4.41%.
The Mortgage Bankers Association surveys between 20 to 35 of the top lenders in the U.S. housing industry to derive its refinance, purchase and market indexes. The weekly survey covers roughly 50% of all U.S. residential mortgage applications processed each week by mortgage banks, commercial banks and thrifts. The figures for weekly mortgage applications are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications(SA, 3/16/90=100) | 8/05/11 | 7/29/11 | 7/22/11 | Y/Y % | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 688.0 | 565.3 | 528.0 | -6.3 | 659.3 | 736.4 | 642.9 |
Purchase | 184.2 | 185.8 | 176.7 | 5.0 | 199.8 | 263.5 | 345.4 |
Refinancing | 3625.7 | 2,780.5 | 2,578.8 | -9.2 | 3,348.1 | 3,509.2 | 2,394.1 |
15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 3.76 | 3.78 | 3.94 | 4.22 (8/06) |
4.39 | 4.85 | 5.88 |