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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller August 9, 2011
Weakened demand helped the pump price for regular gasoline fall four cents last week to $3.67 per gallon. Prices remained down twenty-nine cents since the May peak. Pump prices usually rise this time of year with increased seasonal demand. To account for this pattern, Haver Analytics calculates seasonal factors. As a result, the adjusted gasoline price fell to $3.44 per gallon. Yesterday, the spot market price for a gallon of regular gasoline dropped to $2.66 versus last week's average $2.87.
Gasoline demand fell 3.6% on average during the last four weeks versus last year. Demand for residual fuel oil, used for heating, fell 11.3% y/y but distillate demand ticked up 1.7%. Inventories of crude oil and petroleum products fell 2.4% year-to-year compared to 10.0% growth in the middle of 2009.
Globally, a weaker economic growth environment has hurt crude oil costs. Crude oil prices dropped last week to $90.82 for a barrel of WTI. They remained down from the late-April peak of $113.93. Yesterday, crude prices plunged further to $81.31. Brent crude remained relatively expensive and yesterday sold for $103.16. Prices peaked at $126.21.
Finally, natural gas prices fell w/w to $4.20 per mmbtu. Yesterday, prices fell further to $4.03 and remained down from last year's early-January high of $6.50.
The energy price data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy and can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. The daily figures are in DAILY and the gasoline demand figures are in OILWKLY
Weekly Price | 8/8/11 | 8/1/11 | 7/25/11 | Y/Y% | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Regular Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular) | 3.67 | 3.71 | 3.70 | 32.0 | 2.78 | 2.35 | 3.25 |
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl.) | 90.82 | 97.73 | 97.94 | 11.0 | 79.51 | 61.39 | 100.16 |
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu) | 4.20 | 4.41 | 4.55 | -12.4 | 4.40 | 3.95 | 8.88 |