Recent Updates
- US: New Residential Sales with Revisions (Apr)
- Flash PMIs: Japan, France, Germany, Euro Area, UK, US (May)
- UK: Public Finance (Apr), CBI Distributive Trades Survey (May)
- Mexico: Construction (Mar), SemiMonthly CPI (May)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller July 22, 2011
Reported yesterday, the U.S. House Price Index from the Federal Housing and Finance Agency (FHFA) increased slightly for the second month. The May index rose 0.4% after a 0.2% April uptick. The gain steadied the y/y decline at 6.3%. The greatest weakness over the last year has been in the South Atlantic, Mountain and Western states. FHFA uses data provided by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and is not value-weighted.
The HPI is calculated using a repeat sales index. That means that the HPI measures changes in the price of the same property over time but does not measure changes in property types over time. So if, for example, the price of a larger, new home was not growing very rapidly, but the number of people transitioning from smaller homes to larger homes greatly increased, median house prices would go up (people buying more expensive houses) much more than the HPI. In this way, the HPI is a better measure of how any particular home is appreciating while the median house price is a better measure of what the typical home buyer is paying.
The FHFA data is available in Haver's USECON database.
FHFA U.S. House Price Index Purchase Only (%) | May | Apr | Feb | Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 0.4 | 0.2 | -0.4 | -6.3 | -2.8 | -5.0 | -7.3 |
New England | 0.2 | 2.5 | -0.3 | -2.6 | -1.8 | -2.4 | -4.7 |
Middle Atlantic | -0.8 | 0.9 | -0.1 | -3.9 | -1.2 | -2.9 | -2.6 |
East North Central | 0.5 | 0.8 | -1.8 | -5.9 | -3.1 | -3.4 | -5.6 |
West North Central | 1.0 | -1.2 | 0.8 | -5.9 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -3.2 |
South Atlantic | 0.9 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -7.7 | -4.8 | -7.3 | -9.8 |
East South Central | 1.3 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -4.4 | -2.6 | -2.0 | -1.6 |
West South Central | -1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
Mountain | 2.0 | -2.1 | 0.0 | -9.2 | -6.4 | -10.7 | -9.7 |
Pacific | 0.0 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -9.9 | -2.1 | -10.9 | -19.3 |