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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller June 15, 2011
U.S. industrial production ticked up 0.1% last
month after an unrevised no-change during April. The latest figure was
weaker than Consensus expectations for a 0.2% gain according to Action
Economics. However, weather played a big factor in the May weakness as
utility output fell 2.7%. The gain in factory sector output improved to
0.4%.
Last month's overall improvement owed to a 2.6% rise (6.8% y/y) in furniture output and a 0.8% gain (6.1% y/y) in apparel. Output of high technology products similarly was strong and rose 1.3% (9.8% y/y) led by a 1.6% rise (10.8% y/y) in semiconductors and equipment. Lagging was motor vehicle output which fell 1.4% (+2.2% y/y). Less both the auto and high-tech sectors, May production rose 0.5% (3.4% y/y) after a 3.7% gain during all of last year. Amongst soft goods, apparel production rose 0.8% last month (6.1% y/y) and chemical production gained 0.3% (3.0% y/y).
Capacity utilization overall held steady at 76.7% but was up sharply versus the recession low of 67.3%. In manufacturing alone, utilization rose m/m to 74.5%, also up from the recession low of 64.4%. Notable has been the rise in the computer & electronics industries to 79.3% from a low of 68.6%. Overall, capacity rose 0.2% y/y last month after a 2.2% drop during all of 2010.
Industrial production and capacity data are included in Haver's USECON database, with additional detail in the IP database. The IP database contains figures with more decimal precision and includes extensive lists of "relative importance" numbers for several breakdowns of production by industry and market group. The expectations figure is in the AS1REPNA database.
Fiscal Sustainability is the title of yesterday's speech by Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and it can be found here.
Industrial Production (SA, % Change) | May | Apr | Mar | May Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Output | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 5.3 | -11.2 | -3.7 |
Manufacturing | 0.4 | -0.6 | 0.6 | 3.6 | 5.4 | -13.5 | -5.0 |
Consumer Goods | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 4.3 | -7.2 | -5.2 |
Business Equipment | 1.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 9.3 | 7.7 | -16.3 | -2.5 |
Construction Supplies | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 3.8 | -22.5 | -9.7 |
Materials | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.3 | -11.6 | -2.7 |
Utilities | -2.7 | 2.4 | -0.4 | -0.3 | 4.0 | -2.6 | -0.1 |
Capacity Utilization (%) | 76.7 | 76.7 | 76.8 | 74.3 | 74.5 | 69.1 | 77.8 |
Manufacturing | 74.5 | 74.2 | 74.7 | 71.7 | 71.7 | 66.2 | 74.9 |