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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller June 14, 2011
The National Federation of Independent Business indicated that its index of small business optimism fell to 90.0 from an unrevised 91.2 in April. The latest remained the lowest level since September. Deterioration amongst the sub-series was widespread. The percentage of firms expecting the economy to improve remained negative while firms expecting higher real sales in six months fell to its lowest since October.
The percentage of firms with job openings now fell to its lowest level since November. However, the percentage of firms planning to add jobs turned negative for the first time since September. The percentage with few or no qualified job applicants for job openings slipped m/m but still was near its highest since late-2008.
Firms indicating that credit was harder to get rose m/m but remained near its lowest since June 2008. However, businesses planning capital expenditures during the next six months fell slightly to its lowest percentage since November. The percentage of firms raising prices remained strong near the highest level since October, 2008.
The most important problems faced by small business were poor sales (25%), taxes (20%), government requirements (15%), inflation (10%), insurance cost & availability (7%), competition from large businesses (7%), quality of labor (5%) and financial & interest rates (3%).
Roughly 24 million small businesses exist in the U.S. and they create 80% of all new jobs. The NFIB figures can be found in Haver's SURVEYS database.
Nat'l Federation of Independent Business | May | Apr | Mar | May'10 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Small Business Optimism Index (SA,1986=100) | 90.0 | 91.2 | 91.9 | 92.2 | 89.9 | 86.7 | 89.8 |
Firms Expecting Higher Real Sales In Six Months (Net %) | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | -11 | -7 |
Firms Expecting Economy To Improve (Net %) | -5 | -8 | -5 | 8 | -1 | -0 | -10 |
Firms With One or More Job Openings (Net %) | 12 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
Firms Reporting That Credit Was Harder To Get (Net %) | 10 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
Firms Raising Avg. Selling Prices (Net %) | 15 | 12 | 9 | -15 | -12 | -20 | 17 |