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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continued to Slide Amid Higher Rates
The biggest declines have been in refinancing activity, while applications for purchase are just starting to crack...
UK Inflation Jumps
Inflation is at the highest rate since the series began in January of 1989...
U.S. Industrial Production Much Stronger than Expected in April
The increase in manufacturing output in April was once again led by motor vehicle and parts production...
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller June 2, 2011
Manufacturing orders pulled back 1.2% during April after a 3.8% March jump, revised up from 3.0%. Consensus expectations were for a 1.0% decline in total factory orders. For durable goods only, orders fell an unrevised 3.6%. As indicated last week, much of the decline in durables was due to aircraft. Nondurable goods orders, which equal shipments, rose 0.6% (14.6% y/y). Apparel shipments rose 0.9% (5.3% y/y) but chemical shipments fell 0.3% (+1.0% y/y).
Inventory building continued strong at 1.3% (12.3% y/y), although the figure was biased due to higher oil prices. Durable inventories jumped 0.9% (12.7% y/y) but nondurables surged 1.9% due to the 6.2% jump (35.6% y/y) in petroleum. Growth in unfilled orders moderated to 0.3% for the month. The 5.4% y/y gain masks, however, the strength of a 12.6% rise in backlogs less the transportation sector. It was led by a 31.2% y/y gain in backlogs of machinery orders and a 22.3% gain in electrical equipment, appliances & components.
The factory sector figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
Assessing Potential Financial Imbalances in an Era of Accommodative Monetary Policy is yesterday's speech by Fed Vice Chair Janet L. Yellen and it can be found here.
Factory Sector - NAICS Classification (%) | Apr | Mar | Feb | Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orders | -1.2 | 3.8 | -0.3 | 10.5 | 12.9 | -17.7 | 0.5 |
Shipments | -0.2 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 10.9 | 8.6 | -18.5 | 2.3 |
Inventories | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 12.3 | 8.7 | -6.8 | -2.1 |
Backlogs | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5.4 | 3.9 | -15.2 | 4.3 |