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Economy in Brief
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U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
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Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller April 26, 2011
Last week, the pump price for regular gasoline rose further to $3.88 per gallon, the highest level since August, 2008. The gain was off a low that same year of $1.61. Typically, pump prices decline this time of year due to lessened seasonal demand. To account for this pattern, Haver Analytics calculates seasonal factors. The adjusted gasoline price rose one penny last week to $3.76 per gallon. Yesterday, the spot market price for a gallon of regular gasoline rose to $3.23 from an average $3.17 last week.
Crude oil prices also rose last week to $109.61 for a barrel of WTI, and remained near the highest since September, 2008. The price compares to the 2008 weekly low of $32.37. Yesterday prices jumped to $112.88 per barrel.
Higher prices continued to affect demand for petroleum products. Gasoline demand fell 1.8% on average during the last four weeks versus last year while demand for jet kerosene was off 4.7%. Conversely, the demand for residual fuel oil, used for heating, rose 2.2% y/y and distillate demand rose 6.2%. Inventories of crude oil and petroleum products fell 1.6% year-to-year compared to 10.0% growth in the middle of 2009.
Finally, natural gas prices strengthened w/w to $4.27 per mmbtu. Yesterday, prices rose further to $4.36 but remained down from last year's early-January high of $6.50.
The energy price data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy and can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. The daily figures are in DAILY and the gasoline demand figures are in OILWKLY.
Expectations of Inflation: The Biasing Effect of Thoughts about Specific Prices from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York can be found here.
Weekly Price | 4/25/11 | 4/18/11 | 4/11/11 | Y/Y% | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Regular Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular) | 3.88 | 3.84 | 3.79 | 36.2 | 2.78 | 2.35 | 3.25 |
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl.) | 109.61 | 108.21 | 109.75 | 32.0 | 79.51 | 61.39 | 100.16 |
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu) | 4.27 | 4.12 | 4.16 | 7.0 | 4.40 | 3.95 | 8.88 |