Recent Updates
- US: Consumer Sentiment (May-final), Personal Income, Adv Trade & Inventories (Apr)
- China: Public Funds Asset Mgmt, SOE Economy Operation (Apr), Star Rated Hotels (Q1)
- Croatia: Retail Trade (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Advance Trade Deficit Narrowed Markedly in April
The advance estimate of the U.S. international trade deficit in goods narrowed to $105.9 billion in April...
As Inflation Overshoots, Are Central Banks Overdoing It?
This report is a reminder of how complicated inflation and monetary policy making can be...
U.S. GDP Decline is Little-Revised in Q1'22; Corporate Profits Fall
U.S. real GDP fell 1.5%, SAAR (+3.5% y/y) last quarter...
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller April 13, 2011
The U.S. Commerce Department reported that business inventories rose a lessened 0.5% in February following a 1.0% January gain, last month reported at 0.9%. A 0.8% gain in inventories had been expected by Bloomberg. The slower rate of inventory accumulation was accompanied by an inventory-to-sales ratio which remained near its all-time low as business sales rose 0.2% (10.9% y/y).
The February slowdown in inventory accumulation was led by a -0.4% decline in retail inventories, paced by a 1.4% drop (+8.4% y/y) in motor vehicles. Outside of autos, inventory accumulation also slowed. The 0.1% gain was the weakest since October. It occurred as furniture, home furnishing & appliance inventories fell 1.2% (+3.7% y/y) and apparel (5.1% y/y) and general merchandise inventories (7.4% y/y) both rose just 0.2%.
Factory sector inventories also rose a slower 0.8%, roughly half the January gain. The slowdown was widespread amongst industries and accompanied an easier 1.6% (13.7% y/y) gain in petroleum refineries' inventories. Elsewhere in the nondurable sector, apparel inventories rose a steady 2.0% (22.3% y/y) but textile mill inventories fell 0.2% (+11.6% y/y). Durable goods inventories rose a steady 1.0% (10.5% y/y).
Wholesale inventories rose a steady 1.0% in February with the gain paced by a 9.3% rise in petroleum products (25.3% y/y). Less petroleum wholesale inventories rose a lesser 0.5% but still increased a strong 12.0% y/y as business activity improved.
Business Inventories (%) | Feb | Jan | Dec | Feb Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 9.1 | 8.0 | -9.9 | 0.8 |
Retail | -0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 6.1 | -10.4 | -3.3 |
Retail ex Motor Vehicles | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 3.6 | -4.8 | -1.9 |
Wholesale | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 12.7 | 11.0 | -11.8 | 3.7 |
Manufacturing | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 9.4 | 7.9 | -8.8 | -0.8 |